Kalshi vs Polymarket: the same event, priced after fees
Both exchanges price sports outcomes as contracts, and their prices rarely match. Every price below is stated NET of each venue’s trading fee — the honest number to compare — next to what regulated sportsbooks pay on the same outcome. As of Nov 15, 3:04 AM ET. Bold marks the better payout. Prices move — always confirm at the venue.
Listed: bets at everyday prices (−400 to +400) first, the most-bet leagues leading: the NFL and NBA, then college football, the NHL and the rest. Within each, the widest gap first.
| Bet | Kalshi (after fees) | Polymarket (after fees) | Pays more on $100 |
|---|---|---|---|
Kings ML Oklahoma City Thunder @ Sacramento Kings · NBA · Nov 15, 9:10 PM ET | +373 | +398 | Polymarket +$24 |
Colts ML Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans · NFL · Nov 19, 8:15 PM ET | +351 | +374 | Polymarket +$23 |
Bucks ML Atlanta Hawks @ Milwaukee Bucks · NBA · Nov 15, 8:10 PM ET | +252 | +240 | Kalshi +$12 |
Pacers ML Indiana Pacers @ Philadelphia 76ers · NBA · Nov 15, 1:10 PM ET | +229 | +240 | Polymarket +$11 |
Chargers ML Los Angeles Chargers @ Baltimore Ravens · NFL · Nov 16, 8:15 PM ET | +174 | +183 | Polymarket +$9 |
Raptors ML New York Knicks @ Toronto Raptors · NBA · Nov 15, 6:10 PM ET | +146 | +152 | Polymarket +$7 |
Cardinals ML Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals · NFL · Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET | +373 | +379 | Polymarket +$6 |
Jets ML Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets · NFL · Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET | +351 | +357 | Polymarket +$6 |
Raiders ML Seattle Seahawks @ Las Vegas Raiders · NFL · Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET | +229 | +234 | Polymarket +$6 |
Cowboys ML San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys · NFL · Nov 15, 4:25 PM ET | +174 | +177 | Polymarket +$4 |
Steelers ML Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals · NFL · Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET | +159 | +162 | Polymarket +$4 |
Lakers ML Los Angeles Lakers @ Phoenix Suns · NBA · Nov 15, 4:10 PM ET | -161 | -154 | Polymarket +$3 |
Knicks ML New York Knicks @ Toronto Raptors · NBA · Nov 15, 6:10 PM ET | -191 | -182 | Polymarket +$2 |
Falcons ML Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons · NFL · Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET | +152 | +154 | Polymarket +$2 |
Vikings ML Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers · NFL · Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET | +129 | +131 | Polymarket +$2 |
Panthers ML Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints · NFL · Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET | +105 | +107 | Polymarket +$2 |
Texans ML Houston Texans @ Cleveland Browns · NFL · Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET | -229 | -220 | Polymarket +$2 |
76ers ML Indiana Pacers @ Philadelphia 76ers · NBA · Nov 15, 1:10 PM ET | -276 | -290 | Kalshi +$2 |
Colts ML Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts · NFL · Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET | -218 | -210 | Polymarket +$2 |
Lions ML New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions · NFL · Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET | -148 | -145 | Polymarket +$2 |
Kalshi vs Polymarket: questions
Does Kalshi or Polymarket have better odds?
It depends on the bet. On today’s board the two price 338 moneylines differently; Kalshi pays more on 80 and Polymarket on 258, counting exchange fees. The biggest gap at everyday prices (−400 to +400) is $47 on a $100 bet (Jared Cannonier ML, Ikram Aliskerov @ Jared Cannonier).
What is Oddy?
Oddy shows what every regulated sportsbook and prediction market pays for the same bet, ranked, with a link to the best price. Prices refresh every 5 minutes before a game; once it starts, Kalshi and Polymarket are re-read every 5 seconds from their own APIs (how Oddy works). Free, no account, and we never sell picks.